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home news index houston and dallas remain top single family housing markets

Houston and Dallas remain top single family housing markets

September 22, 2009 - Jim Haughey

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Houston and Dallas account for 26% of single family housing starts in the twenty largest metro housing markets.

Los Angeles, San Francisco, Denver, Miami, Las Vegas and Minneapolis are no longer on the top twenty list.

Like many Border States, Texas attracts lots of foreign immigrants but it also is attracting domestic migrants from other states seeking jobs in new businesses or lower living and housing costs. Together, Dallas, Houston, Austin and San Antonio attracted 210,000 (net) domestic and foreign immigrants in the year ended July 2008. This was 24% of the total domestic and foreign immigration in the entire country.

Dallas and Houston together now account for 2/3’s more multi family permits than New York City.  New York City had nearly 25% more multi family starts than Dallas and Houston combined as recently as 2007. The recession cut permits about 80% in New York City but only about 50% in the two Texas cities. Permits are up from a year ago in many college and oil patch towns that escaped both the 2005-06 housing boom and the worst of the ongoing economic recession.

Forty-one cities are now issuing more housing permits than they did at the peak of the housing boom in late 2005/early 2006. This should not be interpreted as a list of cities leading the housing market or the economy out of recession. These cities simply missed most of the recession as they did the previous housing boom. Except for New Orleans and Buffalo the list includes only small and midsize cities. Seventeen of the twenty cities with the largest increase in permits since the peak of the housing boom are either on the Gulf Coast or in the Plains States.  The gulf cities are getting a boost from Katrina rebuilding funds. The cities in the Plains States with resource based economies fared better during the housing recession than cities with economies dominated by manufacturing, construction or finance.

Top Single Family Permit Metros   Top Multi Family Permit Metros
Metro SF Permits
Last 12 Months
  Metro MF Permits
Last 12 Months
Houston 18,773   New York 10,560
Dallas-Fort Worth 11,730   Dallas-Ft Worth 9,395
Washington 8,823   Houston 8,197
Austin 6,660   Los Angeles 5,610
Phoenix 6,660   Seattle 4,460
Atlanta 6,486   Las Vegas 4,090
New York City 6,149   Austin 3,893
Philadelphia 5,753   Tampa 3,459
San Antonio 5,084   Salt Lake City 3,379
Chicago 4,953   Charlotte 3,196
Seattle 4,536   Chicago 3,080
Riverside 4,427   Washington 3,054
Charlotte 4,144   Atlanta 3,008
Tampa 4,001   Miami 2,872
St. Louis 3,792   Denver 2,479
Raleigh 3,648   Boston 2,339
Nashville 3,586   Phoenix 2,183
Orlando 3,391   San Francisco 2,128
Indianapolis 3,333   Virginia Beach-Norfolk- Newport News 2,109
Jacksonville 3,318   New Orleans 1,984
Source: Census Bureau

The twenty cities with the biggest drop in housing permits from the peak of the housing boom more than three years ago are all paying back the overbuilding during the housing boom or the phantom sales of homes to households who overreached and could not carry their mortgage even before job losses began across the economy. Each of these cities is now beset with a relatively large surplus of homes for sales and, in most cities, continuing decline in home prices. Homebuilders in these cities are competing with a large selection of existing homes priced at or below the cost of constructing a new home.

Largest Increase in Permits from
Early 2006 National Housing Boom Peak
(3 month total)
  Largest Decrease in Permits from
Early 2006 National Housing Boom Peak
(3 month total)
Metro # of Permits   Metro # of Permits
Gulfport-Biloxi 443   Atlanta -14944
Fargo 397   Chicago -10154
Lake Charles 384   Phoenix -10007
Lawton 275   New York -9908
Cedar Rapids 214   Riverside -9663
Omaha 210   Dallas -8748
Bismarck 201   Miami -8171
Billings 181   Houston -6846
Beaumont 153   Las Vegas -6635
Flagstaff 138   Los Angeles -6419
New Orleans 100   Cape Coral -6078
Lake Havasu City-Kingman 90   Tampa -5707
Fort Smith 78   Orlando -5550
Clarksville, TN-KY 59   Washington -5411
San Angelo 58   San Antonio -4368
Jonesboro 54   Lakeland -4308
Shreveport-Bossier City 47   Jacksonville -4111
Grand Forks 47   Denver -3888
Waterloo-Cedar Falls 45   Seattle -3649
Burlington, VT 42   Austin -3600
Source: Census Bureau

For more information, please see US Metro Housing Markets – August 2009 – Cities 1-100.

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