Exceptional news on the jobs front for Canada in September
Featured in:
Join the Discussion!
- Login to post a comment
Print this Page
RSS Feed
It’s been a bit of a shock to see the glowing employment numbers released by Statistics Canada today. The increase in number of jobs in the country at +31,000 is considerably above most analysts’ estimates. In fact, it is higher than the long-term monthly rate of job creation in Canada going back nearly 20 years. Furthermore, there was a 92,000-job-gain in full-time employment, which was partly offset by a 61,000 decline in part-time employment. But full-time jobs are generally valued more highly, since they are higher-paying and more stable in most instances.
The other surprise was the Canadian unemployment rate which fell significantly for the first time in about a year to 8.4%. That leaves it well below the U.S. jobless rate of 9.8%. Two categories of employment which have really taken the heat lately – manufacturing and construction – did much better in the latest reading on jobs. In September, manufacturing had a 26,000-job increase in employment and construction recorded an almost-the-same gain of 25,000 jobs.
Manufacturing has benefitted from the pick-up in auto sector demand in Canada and even more so south of the border. Construction employment has come back a little as single-family housing starts have perked up in the latest month or two. The Bank of Canada has warned, however, that the ongoing and increasing strength in value of the Canadian dollar versus the greenback poses a threat to how much recovery can be expected from producers selling into the U.S. market.
The year-over-year percentage changes in employment do not tell quite as bullish a story as the raw numbers do. The total number of jobs in Canada dipped slightly to -2.1% in September on a percentage comparison basis with the same month of last year. In August, the comparable figure had been -1.7%. In a similar fashion, the total number of service sector jobs fell back to 0.0% on a year-over-year basis in the latest month after climbing to +0.5% in the previous month.

(seasonally adjusted data)

Chart: Reed Construction Data - CanaData.
Chart: Reed Construction Data - CanaData.
Chart: Reed Construction Data - CanaData.
Chart: Reed Construction Data - CanaData.
Chart: Reed Construction Data - CanaData.

Chart: Reed Construction Data - CanaData.
Chart: Reed Construction Data - CanaData.
Member Comments
Related News & Information
RSMeans Assemblies Cost Data 2010 BookOver 10,000 building assembly and component costs. Don't miss the accompanying Reference Tables, Historical Cost Indexes & City Cost Indexes. Quickly estimate a building’s square foot cost and easily compare and price alternatives. Order Now |


The Labour Force Survey also collects labour market information about the territories. These data are not included in the national estimates, but are published separately and in the form of three-month moving averages. Information in this release is based on data that are not seasonally adjusted and therefore comparisons should only be made on a year-over-year basis. Compared with the third quarter of 2008, employment was down in the Northwest Territories in the third quarter of 2009 (-2,200), pushing the unemployment rate up 2.6 percentage points to 7.6%. Over the same period, the employment rate (the proportion of the working-age population who are employed) fell by 7.0 percentage points to 65.1%, the lowest since the start of the series in 2001.Employment in the Yukon edged down in the third quarter of 2009, bringing the employment rate to 70.2%, a decline of 3.3 percentage points from the same quarter of the previous year. The unemployment rate was 5.6%, the lowest of the three territories. In Nunavut, over the same period, employment declines brought the employment rate down 1.3 percentage points to 53.1%. In the third quarter of 2009, the unemployment rate stood at 14.4%. I just hope that with this numbers, people will lessen using the emergency loans.